Norwich City have already been relegated to Championship. Aston Villa, Watford and Bournemouth will fight for their existence in Premier League on Matchday 38.
Two of the three teams, who would finish in 18th and 19th spot in Premier League table would ebe relegated. Three steams are not only positioned very close on the basis of points, but they have are also very similar “goal difference” record.
Along with points after Matchday 38, Goal difference could play a significant role in deciding the relegation this season.
| Position | Team | M | GD | PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Manchester United | 37 | 28 | 63 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 37 | 13 | 63 |
| 5 | Leicester City | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 37 | 13 | 59 |
| 7 | Tottenham Hotspur | 37 | 14 | 58 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 37 | −26 | 34 |
| 18 | Watford | 37 | −27 | 34 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 37 | −27 | 31 |
| 20 | Norwich City (R) | 37 | −44 | 21 |
- Also Read
- Man United, Chelsea, Leicester-Champions League Qualification Probability
- Tottenham or Wolves-Europa League Qualification Probability
The Matches
The matches, those to decide the fate of the 17th, 18th and 19th spot in Premier League table
- Aston Villa vs West Ham
- Bournemouth vs Everton
- Wartford vs Arsenal
Betting Odds in Two Matches
| Team1 | Team2 | Team1 | X | Team2 |
| Aston Villa | West Ham | 2.30 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Bournemouth | Everton | 2.90 | 3.90 | 2.20 |
| Wartford | Arsenal | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
The Combination of Results
- Nine Combination can see Bournemouth and Watford relegated
- Nine other Combination can see Bournemouth and Aston Villa relegated
- Eight other Combination to see Bournemouth and either of Aston Villa or Watford relegated (by goal difference).
- There will be one Combination when all the three teams would end 2019-20 season with 34 points. In that case, goal difference and subsequent methods to be applied to break the deadlock.
- Considering ‘Bet Belief’, chances of Aston Villa to survive in Premier League are 60%
- Considering ‘Bet Belief’, chances of Watford to survive in the Premier League are 36%
- Considering ‘Bet Belief’, chances of Bournemouth to survive in the Premier League are 4%
| Aston Villa/ West Ham Result | Bournemouth/ Everton Result | Watford/ Arsenal Result | Relegated to Championship | Bet Belief |
| Aston Villa Win | Bournemouth Win | Watford Win | Bournemouth & Aston Villa/Watford | 0.04 |
| Aston Villa Win | Bournemouth Win | Draw | Bournemouth & Watford | 0.03 |
| Aston Villa Win | Bournemouth Win | Watford Lose | Bournemouth & Watford | 0.07 |
| Aston Villa Win | Draw | Watford Win | Bournemouth & Aston Villa/Watford | 0.03 |
| Aston Villa Win | Draw | Draw | Bournemouth & Watford | 0.03 |
| Aston Villa Win | Draw | Watford Lose | Bournemouth & Watford | 0.06 |
| Aston Villa Win | Bournemouth Lose | Watford Win | Bournemouth & Aston Villa/Watford | 0.05 |
| Aston Villa Win | Bournemouth Lose | Draw | Bournemouth & Watford | 0.05 |
| Aston Villa Win | Bournemouth Lose | Watford Lose | Bournemouth & Watford | 0.09 |
| Draw | Bournemouth Win | Watford Win | Bournemouth & Aston Villa | 0.02 |
| Draw | Bournemouth Win | Draw | Bournemouth & Aston Villa/Watford | 0.02 |
| Draw | Bournemouth Win | Watford Lose | Bournemouth & Watford | 0.04 |
| Draw | Draw | Watford Win | Bournemouth & Aston Villa | 0.02 |
| Draw | Draw | Draw | Bournemouth & Aston Villa/Watford | 0.02 |
| Draw | Draw | Watford Lose | Bournemouth & Watford | 0.03 |
| Draw | Bournemouth Lose | Watford Win | Bournemouth & Aston Villa | 0.03 |
| Draw | Bournemouth Lose | Draw | Bournemouth & Aston Villa/Watford | 0.03 |
| Draw | Bournemouth Lose | Watford Lose | Bournemouth & Watford | 0.05 |
| Aston Villa Lose | Bournemouth Win | Watford Win | Bournemouth & Aston Villa | 0.02 |
| Aston Villa Lose | Bournemouth Win | Draw | Bournemouth & Aston Villa | 0.02 |
| Aston Villa Lose | Bournemouth Win | Watford Lose | Any two of Aston Villa/Watford/Bournemouth | 0.05 |
| Aston Villa Lose | Draw | Watford Win | Bournemouth & Aston Villa | 0.02 |
| Aston Villa Lose | Draw | Draw | Bournemouth & Aston Villa | 0.02 |
| Aston Villa Lose | Draw | Watford Lose | Bournemouth & Aston Villa/Watford | 0.04 |
| Aston Villa Lose | Bournemouth Lose | Watford Win | Bournemouth & Aston Villa | 0.03 |
| Aston Villa Lose | Bournemouth Lose | Draw | Bournemouth & Aston Villa | 0.03 |
| Aston Villa Lose | Bournemouth Lose | Watford Lose | Bournemouth & Aston Villa/Watford | 0.06 |
* Bet Belief shows chances (in %) of getting the outcome, considering Betting odds as Probabilities of Match result (Win, Draw, Lose)
| Team | Chances to be relegated | Chances of Premier League Survival |
| Aston Villa | 40% | 60% |
| Wartford | 64% | 36% |
| Bournemouth | 96% | 4% |
How The Team Would be Ranked in Premier League Table
1. Points obtained in all group matches
2. Goal difference in all group matches
3. Goals scored in all group matches*
4. Points gained in head to head record between such teams
5. Away goals scored in head to head record between such teams
6. Play-offs
* If the champions, relegated teams or qualified teams for UEFA competitions cannot be determined by rules 1 to 3, Rule 4, Rule 5 and Rule 6 to be applied to break the deadlock.
