Prediction – Group A, Knockout Stage Qualification, FIFA World Cup 2022

Memphis Depay of Netherlands
Memphis Depay of Netherlands

Table – Group A

 PlayedWinDrawLossGFGAGDPoints
Ecuador21103124
Netherlands21103124
Senegal21013303
Qatar200215−40

Last Two Matches

Match 1
EcuadorSenegal
Match 2
NetherlandsQatar

Ecuador vs Senegal – Odds and Probabilities

 Ecuador to winDrawSenegal to win
Odds2.373.203.25
Probability (%) 403030

Preview

Netherlands vs Qatar – Odds and Probabilities

 Netherlands to winDrawQatar to win
Odds1.226.5012.00
Probability (%) 79158

Preview

9 Scenarios from last two Group A matches

Prediction - Group A, Knockout Stage Qualification, FIFA World Cup 2022 World Cup

Group Ranking

The ranking of teams in the group stage to be determined as follows:

  1. Points obtained in all group matches: 
    • Win: 3 points;
    • Draw: 1 point;
    • Loss: 0 points;
  2. Goal Difference after all group matches;
  3. Number of goals scored in all three group matches;
  4. Points obtained in the match played between the concerned teams;
  5. Goal difference in the match played between the concerned teams;
  6. Number of goals scored in the matches played between the concerned teams;
  7. Fair play points in all group matches (only one deduction can be applied to a player in a single match): 
    • Yellow card: −1 point;
    • Indirect red card (second yellow card): −3 points;
    • Direct red card: −4 points;
    • Yellow card and direct red card: −5 points;
  8. Drawing of lots.

What happen during each scenarios

ScenarioQualifiers% Chances/Comments
1Ecuador, Netherlands32%
2Ecuador, Netherlands24%
3Senegal, Netherlands23%
4Ecuador, Netherlands6%
5Ecuador, Netherlands4%
6Senegal, Netherlands4%
7Ecuador, Netherlands3%
8Ecuador & Senegal/Netherlands2%, Netherlands ahead with better goal differences (0/2)
9Senegal & Ecuador/Netherlands2%, Both have same Goal differences (2/2)

Conclusion

  • Qatar have no chances for knock-out stage qualification
  • Netherlands have 98% chances for qualifying into next round.
  • Ecuador have 72% chances for qualifying into next round.
  • Senegal have 30% chances for qualifying into next round.