Man United, Chelsea, Leicester-Champions League Qualification Probability

Man United, Chelsea, Leicester-Champions League Qualification Probability
Man United, Chelsea, Leicester-Champions League Qualification Probability

Liverpool and Manchester City have already secured UEFA Champions League qualification. Manchester United, Chelsea and Leicester City are currently positioned at third, fourth and fifth spot in the Premier League.

But the results in Matchday 38, are crucial in determining which of the two teams will ultimately be qualifying in the champions league next year.

After Sunday the team, which will end up at fifth spot will automatically qualify in Europa League.

PositionTeamMGDPT
3Manchester United372863
4Chelsea371363
5Leicester City372862
6Wolverhampton Wanderers371359
7Tottenham Hotspur371458
17Aston Villa37−2634
18Watford37−2734
19Bournemouth37−2731
20Norwich City (R)37−4421
Premier League Table – Excerpt

The Matches

The matches, those to decide the fate of the 3rd, 4th and 5th spot in Premier League table

  • Manchester United/Leicester City Preview
  • Chelsea/WolvesPreview

Betting Odds in Two Matches

Team1Team2Team1XTeam2
Manchester UnitedLeicester City2.253.603.00
ChelseaWolves1.853.804.00

The Combination of Results

Man United, Chelsea, Leicester-Champions League Qualification Probability European Leagues Premier League UEFA Champions League
  • Five combination can see Manchester United & Chelsea to qualify in Champions League
  • Two combination can see Manchester United & Leicester to qualify in Champions League
  • Two combination can see Chelsea & Leicester to qualify in Champions League
  • Considering ‘Bet Belief’, Chances of Manchester United are 82%
  • Considering ‘Bet Belief’, Chances of Chelsea are 84%
  • Considering ‘Bet Belief’, Chances ofLeicester are 35%
Manchester United/Leicester ResultChelsea/Wolves ResultChampions League QualificationBet Belief *(%)
Manchester United WinChelsea WinManchester United & Chelsea0.23
Manchester United WinDrawManchester United & Chelsea0.10
Manchester United WinWolves WinManchester United & Chelsea0.10
DrawChelsea WinManchester United & Chelsea0.14
DrawDrawManchester United & Chelsea0.06
DrawWolves WinManchester United & Leicester0.06
Leicester WinChelsea WinChelsea & Leicester0.16
Leicester WinDrawChelsea & Leicester0.07
Leicester WinWolves WinManchester United & Leicester0.07
The combination of results that would affect Champions League Qualification
* Bet Belief shows chances (in %) of getting the outcome, considering Betting odds as Probabilities of Match result (Win, Draw, Lose)

TeamChances not to qualify in Champions League Chances to Qualify
Chelsea16%84%
Manchester United18%82%
Leicester City65%35%
Chances for Qualification in to Champions League by claiming top-four spot

How The Team Would be Ranked in Premier League Table

1. Points obtained in all group matches

2. Goal difference in all group matches

3. Goals scored in all group matches*

4. Points gained in head to head record between such teams

5. Away goals scored in head to head record between such teams

6. Play-offs

* If the champions, relegated teams or qualified teams for UEFA competitions cannot be determined by rules 1 to 3, Rule 4, Rule 5 and Rule 6 to be applied to break the deadlock.