The ranking of teams in the group stage to be determined as follows:
Points obtained in all group matches:
Win: 3 points;
Draw: 1 point;
Loss: 0 points;
Goal Difference after all group matches;
Number of goals scored in all three group matches;
Points obtained in the match played between the concerned teams;
Goal difference in the match played between the concerned teams;
Number of goals scored in the matches played between the concerned teams;
Fair play points in all group matches (only one deduction can be applied to a player in a single match):
Yellow card: −1 point;
Indirect red card (second yellow card): −3 points;
Direct red card: −4 points;
Yellow card and direct red card: −5 points;
Drawing of lots.
What happen during each scenarios
Scenario
Qualifiers
% Chances/Comments
1
France, Australia
2%
2
France, Australia
3%
3
France, Australia
9%
4
France, Australia/Tunisia
3%
5
France, Australia
5%
6
France, Australia
14%
7
France, Denmark/Tunisia
8%
8
France, Denmark
15%
9
France, Denmark
40%
Assumption
When two teams end with same points, the chances to qualify may differ because of their current goal-differences. But for simplicity, we split the chances equally between two teams.
Conclusion
All the teams have reasonable chances to qualify.
France have already qualified (100%).
Australia have 35% chances for qualifying into next round.
Denmark have 59% chances for qualifying into next round.
Tunisia have 6% chances for qualifying into next round.
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