Prediction – Group H, Knockout Stage Qualification, FIFA World Cup 2022

Table – Group H

	Played	Win	Draw	Loss	GF	GA	GD	Points
Portugal	2	2	0	0	5	2	3	6
Ghana	2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3
South Korea	2	0	1	1	2	3	−1	1
Uruguay	2	0	1	1	0	2	−2	1

Last Two Matches

Match 1
South Korea	Portugal

Match 2
Ghana	Uruguay

South Korea vs Portugal – Odds and Probabilities

	South Korea to win	Draw	Portugal to win
Odds	4.75	4.00	1.66
Probability (%)	19	23	58

Preview

Ghana vs Uruguay – Odds and Probabilities

	Ghana to win	Draw	Uruguay to win
Odds	4.75	3.8	1.72
Probability (%)	20	25	55

Preview

9 Scenarios from last two Group H matches

Group Ranking

The ranking of teams in the group stage to be determined as follows:

1. Points obtained in all group matches: 
   • Win: 3 points;
   • Draw: 1 point;
   • Loss: 0 points;
2. Goal Difference after all group matches;
3. Number of goals scored in all three group matches;
4. Points obtained in the match played between the concerned teams;
5. Goal difference in the match played between the concerned teams;
6. Number of goals scored in the matches played between the concerned teams;
7. Fair play points in all group matches (only one deduction can be applied to a player in a single match): 
   • Yellow card: −1 point;
   • Indirect red card (second yellow card): −3 points;
   • Direct red card: −4 points;
   • Yellow card and direct red card: −5 points;
8. Drawing of lots.

What happen during each scenarios

Scenario	Qualifiers	% Chances/Comments
1	Portugal, Ghana	4%
2	Portugal, Ghana	5%
3	Portugal, Ghana	12%
4	Portugal, Ghana/South Korea	5%
5	Portugal, Ghana	6%
6	Portugal, Ghana	15%
7	Portugal, Uruguay/South Korea	8%
8	Portugal, Uruguay	13%
9	Portugal, Uruguay	33%

Assumption

When two teams end with same points, the chances to qualify may differ because of their current goal-differences. But for simplicity, we split the chances equally between two teams.

Conclusion

• Portugal have already qualified (100%).
• Ghana have 45% chances for qualifying into next round.
• South Korea have 6% chances for qualifying into next round.
• Uruguay have 49% chances for qualifying into next round.