Prediction – Group H, Knockout Stage Qualification, FIFA World Cup 2022

Cristiano Ronaldo reaches 100 goal milestone in Portugal's win against Sweden

Table – Group H

 PlayedWinDrawLossGFGAGDPoints
Portugal22005236
Ghana21015503
South Korea201123−11
Uruguay201102−21

Last Two Matches

Match 1
South KoreaPortugal
Match 2
GhanaUruguay

South Korea vs Portugal – Odds and Probabilities

South Korea to winDrawPortugal to win
Odds4.754.001.66
Probability (%) 192358

Preview

Ghana vs Uruguay – Odds and Probabilities

Ghana to winDrawUruguay to win
Odds4.753.81.72
Probability (%) 202555

Preview

9 Scenarios from last two Group H matches

Prediction – Group H, Knockout Stage Qualification, FIFA World Cup 2022 World Cup

Group Ranking

The ranking of teams in the group stage to be determined as follows:

  1. Points obtained in all group matches: 
    • Win: 3 points;
    • Draw: 1 point;
    • Loss: 0 points;
  2. Goal Difference after all group matches;
  3. Number of goals scored in all three group matches;
  4. Points obtained in the match played between the concerned teams;
  5. Goal difference in the match played between the concerned teams;
  6. Number of goals scored in the matches played between the concerned teams;
  7. Fair play points in all group matches (only one deduction can be applied to a player in a single match): 
    • Yellow card: −1 point;
    • Indirect red card (second yellow card): −3 points;
    • Direct red card: −4 points;
    • Yellow card and direct red card: −5 points;
  8. Drawing of lots.

What happen during each scenarios

ScenarioQualifiers% Chances/Comments
1Portugal, Ghana4%
2Portugal, Ghana5%
3Portugal, Ghana12%
4Portugal, Ghana/South Korea5%
5Portugal, Ghana6% 
6Portugal, Ghana15%
7Portugal, Uruguay/South Korea8%
8Portugal, Uruguay13%
9Portugal, Uruguay33% 

Assumption

When two teams end with same points, the chances to qualify may differ because of their current goal-differences. But for simplicity, we split the chances equally between two teams.

Conclusion

  • Portugal have already qualified (100%).
  • Ghana have 45% chances for qualifying into next round.
  • South Korea have 6% chances for qualifying into next round.
  • Uruguay have 49% chances for qualifying into next round.